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Primary Voters Predict Trump Will Win Nomination

Former President Donald Trump
Former President Donald Trump | Image by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

A large majority of Republican primary voters in New Hampshire said they believe former President Donald Trump will be the nominee for their party, according to survey data from the Associated Press.

Trump won New Hampshire with 54% of the vote Tuesday over former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, who received 43%. However, 8 in 10 of these Republican voters said they believe Trump will be the nominee for the GOP in the general election.

The data comes one week after Trump won the Iowa caucus with 51% of the vote over several GOP challengers, many of whom dropped out of the race shortly after. The former president has a 96% chance to win the GOP primary, according to betting odds tracked by Bet Ohio.

The New Hampshire survey data indicates that some feel reason for concern for Trump’s campaign ahead of the general election. About half of GOP primary voters in the state said they are very or somewhat concerned that Trump is too extreme to defeat the Democratic candidate. Another 4 in 10 said they believe Trump did something illegal in at least one of the criminal cases that he faces, including the alleged attempt to interfere in the 2020 election, his role in what happened to the Capitol on January 6, 2021, and his handling of classified documents after his presidency.

The AP notes the voting data in New Hampshire is unique due to the prevalence of independent voters in the state who can vote in the primary election of their choice. Nearly half of the voters in the GOP primary Tuesday were not registered with a party.

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