A recent poll conducted by the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs and Texas Southern University’s School of Public Affairs has provided fresh insights into the evolving dynamics of the 2024 elections in Texas.
The poll, which included data from June 20 to July 1 and August 5 to August 16, highlighted shifting voter sentiments in the presidential and U.S. Senate races.
Initially, the poll indicated that 49% of likely Texas voters supported former President Donald Trump, compared to 40% backing President Joe Biden, according to WFAA.
However, following Biden’s withdrawal from the race on July 21, the August data showed a tighter contest between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. The latest figures revealed that 49.5% of likely voters favor Trump, while 44.6% support Harris.
The survey also revealed slight voter demographic differences.
Among male voters, Trump leads with 56% support compared to Harris’s 38%. Conversely, Harris is favored by 50% of female voters, while 44% support Trump. Younger voters, particularly Generation Z, show a stronger preference for Harris, with 55% indicating support compared to 38% for Trump, a notable increase from the 39% support Biden received among this group earlier.
Latino voters in Texas appear divided, with 47% planning to vote for Trump and 46% leaning toward Harris.
In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Republican Ted Cruz and Democratic challenger Colin Allred are in a tight contest.
The survey showed Cruz leading with 46.6% support, while Allred garners 44.5%. About 6% of respondents remain undecided. Cruz performs better among men, with 52% of their support, while Allred holds the lead among women voters, with 49% supporting him versus 42% for Cruz.
