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Tuesday, November 29, 2022
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Crime: Which Dallas Districts Have ‘Losing Records’

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Crime scene | Image by Prath

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If District 13 were a pro sports team, and Councilwoman Gay Donnell Willis was the team’s coach, she’d surely have a losing record, metaphorically speaking. Over the past nine months of crime, District 13 had the worst track record of the 14 City of Dallas districts.

Each month, The Dallas Express calculates the Crime Score for every district in the City of Dallas based on the previous month’s crime statistics. If a district’s Crime Score has decreased from the same month in the previous year, that is considered a “win.” A district notches a “loss,” however, when the month’s Crime Score increases compared to the same month the previous year. If there is no change in the Score, it is recorded as a tie.

District 13 and Willis have a firm grip on the worst record of the year, boasting a mark of zero wins, one tie, and eight losses. Crime Boss Scores for February through October, based on crime data from January through September, reflect that the percentage Crime Score increase in D13 hit double digits in six of those months, with the highest increase of 38.91 in July.

However, Willis was not named Crime Boss of the Month (CBOM) in July because fellow councilmember Chad West of District 1 had an even higher increase of 45.43% that month. Willis did secure the CBOM title in September, with a 23.11% increase.

No other district in the City of Dallas has had a no-win year, but another four districts posted more losses than wins.

Conversely, Districts 5 and 10, saw Crime Score decreases in eight of the last nine months. If District 11 can continue the momentum of Crime Score decreases, they may have an opportunity to supplant Districts 5 and 10 and take over the #1 spot by the end of the year.

The district rankings, from best to worst, are as follows:

Rank    District-Rep.                                               Win-Loss-Tie

1st      District 10, B. Adam McGough                            8-1

(Tie)     District 5, Jaime Resendez

3rd      District 11, Jaynie Schultz                                   7-2

4th      District 4 – Carolyn King Arnold                      6-2-1

5th      District 6 – Omar Narvaez                                  6-3

6th      District 7 – Adam Bazaldua                                5-4

(Tie)     District 8 – Tennell Atkins

District 9 – Paula Blackmon

District 12 – Cara Mendelsohn

10th   District 3 – Casey Thomas, II                              4-5

11th   District 1 – Chad West                                           2-7

(Tie)    District 14 – Paul E. Ridley

13th   District 2 – Jesse Moreno                                     1-8

14th   District 13 – Gay Donnell Willis                          0-8-1

If District 13 should have a few winning months to close out the year, District 1’s Chad West, District 14’s Paul E. Ridley, or District 2’s Jesse Moreno could easily slip to last place.

West and District 1 are no strangers to CBOM, as they have earned the questionable honor of CBOM several times this year. The area started the year with three straight monthly Crime Score increases before seeing a 2.29% decrease to end the skid in May. District 1 has seen another four months of Crime Score increases since June, including a whopping 54.91% increase that month, the highest increase realized by any of the 14 City of Dallas districts in 2022.

District 2 saw six consecutive months of Crime Score increases before turning it around for one month in August. Unfortunately for the residents in District 2, the last two months have been losing months as well, leaving the area in the race for the worst Crime Score record for the year.

District 14’s Paul E. Ridley had Crime Score increases every month this year except for May and August, when the area saw decreases of 10.52% and 4.86%, respectively.

District 3, led by Casey Thomas II, is the only remaining region in Dallas with a sub .500 mark, boasting a 4-5 win-loss record. The district started the year notching double-digit Crime Score increases for five months in a row before breaking the losing streak and chalking up double-digit decreases for the last four months in a row.

How did your area stack up on crime? Check out our interactive Crime Map to compare all Dallas City Council Districts. Curious how we got our numbers? Check out our methodology page here.         

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